«Альтсезон» в криптовалюте – это период, когда цены на альткоины (криптовалюты, не являющиеся Bitcoin) растут быстрее, чем цена первой криптовалюты — Биткоина.

Как не проспать альткоин сезон на криптовалютном рынке? В этом поможет сервис Altcoin Season Index.

Как известно, наиболее ярким свидетельством надвигающегося сезона альткоинов является снижение показателя доминирования Биткоина в общей капитализации криптовалютного рынка.

Индекс доминирования BTC

Что такое Altcoin Season Index?

Это попытка положить конец вопросу “Идет ли сейчас сезон альткоинов?” Сезон длится три месяца, поэтому создатели сервиса просмотрели показатели всех ТОП-50 монет за последние 90 дней. Чем больше альткоинов растут по отношению к BTC, тем выше индекс сезона альткоинов. Если 75% всех альткоинов противостоят биткоину за последние 3 месяца, это означает, что altcoin season is in full swing!

If less than 25% of altcoins from the TOP-50 are growing faster than Bitcoin, this means we are witnessing a Bitcoin season.

Coins Indicating Altcoin Season

TOP 50 assets for the last 90 days

These coins performed better than Bitcoin over the last season (90 days)

Coins Not Indicating Altcoin Season

These coins performed worse than Bitcoin over the last season (90 days)

How is the Altcoin Season Index calculated?

Let's say there are 35 coins in the top 50 that have outperformed Bitcoin in the last 90 days. The altcoin season index will be as follows:

Excluded from the top 50 crypto assets are stablecoins (Tether, DAI...) and asset-backed tokens (WBTC, cLINK,...).

So, with the help of this service we can understand whether the altseason has arrived or not.

However, it should be understood that, unfortunately, there is no single generally accepted “altcoin season index”. There are no official indices in the cryptocurrency industry like the S&P 500 index for traditional stocks.

However, there are several ways to roughly determine “altcoin season”:

1. Monitoring market capitalization:

• Rise in Overall Altcoin Market Cap: If a large portion of the overall cryptocurrency market cap shifts from Bitcoin to altcoins, it could be a sign that altcoin season has begun.
• Relative Returns: Compare Bitcoin's returns to those of other major altcoins. If altcoins are showing higher returns than Bitcoin, this could also be a sign of altcoin season.

1. Sentiment Analysis:

• Social Media: Monitor social media activity related to altcoins. Increased interest and discussion may indicate an increase in their popularity.
• Cryptocurrency News Sites: Follow news related to the development and adoption of altcoins. New projects, partnerships or technological advances may attract investment.

1. Technical analysis:

• Resistance Breaks: If altcoin prices break through key resistance levels, this could be a signal for growth.
• Divergence: Look for discrepancies between price and indicators that may indicate a potential change in trend.

It is important to note that:

• There are no guarantees that an altcoin season will begin or that certain coins will increase in value.
• Investing in cryptocurrencies involves high risk.

Instead of relying on informal "indices", it is recommended:

• Do your own research: Study the fundamentals of projects, study their teams, technologies and plans.
• Diversify your portfolio: Don't invest everything in one coin.
• Manage Risk: Determine your risk tolerance level and don't invest more than you can afford to lose.

More information

Signs of altseason

• Altcoin market capitalization growth: The total value of all altcoins is growing significantly faster than the value of Bitcoin.
• High volatility: altcoin prices fluctuate significantly more than the price of Bitcoin.
• High trading volume: Altokin trading volume is growing significantly more than Bitcoin trading volume.
• Positive news and investments: News about new projects, investments and growth of the altoin ecosystem contribute to growth.
• General enthusiasm in the market: investors become more optimistic about the future Altokinov.

Reasons for altseason

• Cryptocurrency market cyclicality: altseasons often occur after strong Bitcoin gains as investors look for new investment opportunities.
• Innovation and development: the emergence of new technologies, projects and ecosystems that attract investors.
• The growing popularity of DeFi and Web3: Decentralized finance and the decentralized web (Web3) are creating new opportunities for alternative coins.
• Macroeconomic factors: changes in market behavior and investment sentiment that affect the attractiveness of different assets.

Risks of alt-season

• High volatility: prices can fall quickly, resulting in significant losses.
• Project instability: Some projects may be unstable or unrealistic, resulting in loss of funds.
• Bubble and Correction Risk: A sharp rise in prices can lead to a bubble, which can burst, causing prices to fall sharply.

Conclusion

Альтсезоны могут являться периодами значительного роста цен на альткоины, но они также связаны с высоким риском. Инвесторы должны быть осторожны и проводить тщательный анализ, прежде чем инвестировать в любые альтернативные цифровые валюты. Помните, что криптовалютный рынок быстро развивается, и нет однозначных правил. Важно быть в курсе событий и принимать осознанные решения.

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